IF elfsborgvs
Molde
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 8/29/2024, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
IF elfsborg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
IF elfsborg are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Molde are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and IF elfsborg hold a 13.2-point power-rating edge (58.8 v 45.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.8% in the UEFA Europa League, while IF elfsborg holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
IF elfsborg
Probability
52.8%
Model confidence
52.8%
IF elfsborg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60