IF Elfsborgvs
Malmo FF
COMPLETEDSweden · Allsvenskan · 10/23/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
IF Elfsborg · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
IF Elfsborg 0-0 Malmo FF
Original prediction
IF Elfsborg
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.04 | 45.6% | 48.8% | 3.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.59 | 25.9% | 25.5% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 3.25 | 28.6% | 25.7% | -2.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.59 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
IF Elfsborg
Probability
48.8%
Model confidence
48.8%
IF Elfsborg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80