IF Elfsborgvs
Kalmar FF
COMPLETEDSweden · Allsvenskan · 9/13/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
IF Elfsborg · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: IF Elfsborg 1-0 Kalmar FF, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
IF Elfsborg 1-0 Kalmar FF
Original prediction
IF Elfsborg
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.84 | 50.5% | 59.2% | 8.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.54 | 26.2% | 23.8% | -2.3 pts |
| Away | 3.99 | 23.3% | 16.9% | -6.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.84 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.7 pts
Projected Score
IF Elfsborg 1–0 Kalmar FF
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
IF Elfsborg
Probability
59.2%
Model confidence
59.2%
IF Elfsborg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
IF ElfsborgLWDWW
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Kalmar FFLLDWL
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
IF ElfsborgKalmar FF
46.7Attack35.0
65.0Defence50.0
51.7Form31.7
56.1Power40.8
1.58xG0.64