GGOALVIO

Sweden · Allsvenskan · 4/6/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

IF Elfsborg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Mediumconfidence

IF Elfsborg are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while IFK Goteborg are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and IF Elfsborg hold a 14.5-point power-rating edge (54.4 v 39.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.1% in the Allsvenskan, while IF Elfsborg holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

IF Elfsborg

Probability

63.8%

Model confidence

11.1%

IF Elfsborg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

IF ElfsborgWWWLW

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
IFK GoteborgDWLWW

GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
IF ElfsborgIFK Goteborg
43.8Attack45.8
62.5Defence27.1
50.0Form39.6
54.4Power39.9
2.14xG0.91
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