GGOALVIO

IF elfsborg logoIF elfsborgvsHNK Rijeka logoHNK Rijeka

COMPLETED

World · UEFA Europa League · 8/15/2024, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

IF elfsborg · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

IF elfsborg are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while HNK Rijeka are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and IF elfsborg hold an 11.4-point power-rating edge (58.8 v 47.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.6% in the UEFA Europa League, while IF elfsborg holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

IF elfsborg

Probability

45.6%

Model confidence

45.6%

IF elfsborg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

IF elfsborgWDWLW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
HNK RijekaDDWWD

GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 1.20/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
IF elfsborgHNK Rijeka
50.0Attack16.7
62.5Defence75.0
60.4Form41.7
58.8Power47.4
1.33xG0.79
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