IF Elfsborgvs
Degerfors IF
SCHEDULEDSweden · Allsvenskan · 8/29/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
IF Elfsborg · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
IF Elfsborg are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Degerfors IF are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and IF Elfsborg hold an 18.8-point power-rating edge (54.4 v 35.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.9% in the Allsvenskan, while IF Elfsborg holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
IF Elfsborg
Probability
63.2%
Model confidence
16.9%
IF Elfsborg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00