IF Elfsborgvs
Degerfors IF
COMPLETEDSweden · Allsvenskan · 8/29/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
IF Elfsborg · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: IF Elfsborg 1-0 Degerfors IF, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
IF Elfsborg 2-0 Degerfors IF
Original prediction
IF Elfsborg
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.53 | 60.5% | 65.1% | 4.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.96 | 23.4% | 21.9% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 5.78 | 16.1% | 12.9% | -3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.53 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.7 pts
Projected Score
IF Elfsborg 1–0 Degerfors IF
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
IF Elfsborg
Probability
65.1%
Model confidence
65.1%
IF Elfsborg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
IF ElfsborgDWWWW
GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Degerfors IFLWWWL
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
IF ElfsborgDegerfors IF
46.3Attack31.5
64.8Defence46.3
51.9Form29.6
56.1Power37.6
1.69xG0.58