GGOALVIO

Sweden · Allsvenskan · 8/29/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

IF Elfsborg · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

IF Elfsborg are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Degerfors IF are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and IF Elfsborg hold an 18.8-point power-rating edge (54.4 v 35.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.9% in the Allsvenskan, while IF Elfsborg holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

IF Elfsborg

Probability

63.2%

Model confidence

16.9%

IF Elfsborg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

IF ElfsborgWWWLL

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Degerfors IFWLLLL

GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
IF ElfsborgDegerfors IF
43.8Attack29.2
62.5Defence43.8
50.0Form27.1
54.4Power35.7
1.68xG0.57
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