IF Elfsborgvs
AS Roma
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 10/3/2024, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AS Roma · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
IF Elfsborg are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while AS Roma are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and AS Roma hold a 2.9-point power-rating edge (58.8 v 61.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.9% in the UEFA Europa League, while AS Roma holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
AS Roma
Probability
36.9%
Model confidence
36.9%
AS Roma has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60