GGOALVIO

Sweden · Allsvenskan · 5/3/2026, 2:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

IF Elfsborg · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

IF Elfsborg are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while AIK Stockholm are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and IF Elfsborg hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (54.4 v 51.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.3% in the Allsvenskan, while IF Elfsborg holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

IF Elfsborg

Probability

44.3%

Model confidence

44.3%

IF Elfsborg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

IF ElfsborgLWWDW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AIK StockholmLLWDW

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
IF ElfsborgAIK Stockholm
43.8Attack45.8
62.5Defence50.0
50.0Form52.1
54.4Power51.9
1.42xG0.94
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