GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 1/26/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

IF Elfsborg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

IF Elfsborg are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Aarhus are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and IF Elfsborg hold a 23.6-point power-rating edge (82.1 v 58.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while IF Elfsborg holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

IF Elfsborg

Probability

55.3%

Model confidence

11.4%

IF Elfsborg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

IF ElfsborgLLLLW

GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
AarhusWWWLW

GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
IF ElfsborgAarhus
100.0Attack57.8
71.4Defence64.4
81.0Form53.3
82.1Power58.6
1.95xG1.10
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