IF Brommapojkarnavs
IF Elfsborg
COMPLETEDSweden · Allsvenskan · 9/6/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
IF Elfsborg · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
IF Brommapojkarna 2-1 IF Elfsborg
Original prediction
IF Elfsborg
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:27 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.35 | 27.9% | 26.3% | -1.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.52 | 26.5% | 25.3% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 2.04 | 45.7% | 48.4% | 2.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
IF Elfsborg
Probability
48.4%
Model confidence
48.4%
IF Elfsborg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 11 · GA 1 · avg 2.20/0.20