GGOALVIO

Sweden · Allsvenskan · 10/16/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Djurgardens IF · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 0-2 (10%), 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

IF Brommapojkarna 0-2 Djurgardens IF

Original prediction

Djurgardens IF

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home5.6316.5%18.8%2.3 pts
Draw4.5320.5%21.5%1.0 pts
Away1.4763.1%59.7%-3.4 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.47 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-3.4 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.0–210%
  2. 2.1–210%
  3. 3.1–19%

Predicted outcome

Djurgardens IF

Probability

59.7%

Model confidence

59.7%

Djurgardens IF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

IF BrommapojkarnaWLLWL

GF 9 · GA 14 · avg 1.80/2.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Djurgardens IFWWLWW

GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
IF BrommapojkarnaDjurgardens IF
52.2Attack69.6
40.6Defence69.6
43.5Form63.8
47.5Power66.0
0.97xG2.39
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