Iğdır FKvs
Mardin 1969
COMPLETEDTurkey · 1. Lig · 9/13/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Iğdır FK · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Iğdır FK 1-0 Mardin 1969
Original prediction
Iğdır FK
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.30 | 39.5% | 36.7% | -2.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.17 | 28.6% | 30.6% | 1.9 pts |
| Away | 2.86 | 31.8% | 32.8% | 1.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.30 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
Iğdır FK
Probability
36.7%
Model confidence
36.7%
Iğdır FK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Iğdır FKWWWLL
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Mardin 1969WDDWW
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Iğdır FKMardin 1969
50.0Attack50.0
72.2Defence83.3
66.7Form66.7
64.7Power67.7
1.08xG0.96