Iğdır FKvs
Manisa F.K.
COMPLETEDTurkey · 1. Lig · 9/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Iğdır FK · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (14%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Iğdır FK 4-2 Manisa F.K.
Original prediction
Iğdır FK
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.02 | 45.2% | 43.1% | -2.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 27.1% | 28.9% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 3.29 | 27.7% | 28.0% | 0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.02 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–014%
- 3.0–013%
Predicted outcome
Iğdır FK
Probability
43.1%
Model confidence
43.1%
Iğdır FK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Iğdır FKWLLWD
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Manisa F.K.DDWWW
GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Iğdır FKManisa F.K.
50.0Attack66.7
71.1Defence66.7
50.9Form100.0
55.8Power80.3
1.32xG0.83