Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Iğdır FK · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Iğdır FK 2-0 Boluspor, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Iğdır FK 1-0 Boluspor
Original prediction
Iğdır FK
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.17 | 78.2% | 82.7% | 4.4 pts |
| Draw | 6.29 | 14.5% | 12.9% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 12.69 | 7.2% | 4.4% | -2.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.17 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.4 pts
Projected Score
Iğdır FK 2–0 Boluspor
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Iğdır FK
Probability
82.7%
Model confidence
82.7%
Iğdır FK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Iğdır FKDWDWW
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
BolusporWLLLD
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Iğdır FKBoluspor
46.7Attack13.3
73.3Defence30.0
66.7Form13.3
64.6Power22.6
2.37xG0.34