GGOALVIO

Turkey · 1. Lig · 10/10/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Iğdır FK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Iğdır FK 2-1 Batman Petrolspor

Original prediction

Iğdır FK

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 03:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.0644.2%42.1%-2.2 pts
Draw3.3727.0%28.6%1.6 pts
Away3.1628.8%29.3%0.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.06 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-2.2 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.1–010%
  3. 3.2–110%

Predicted outcome

Iğdır FK

Probability

42.1%

Model confidence

42.1%

Iğdır FK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Iğdır FKDWWWW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Batman PetrolsporLLWWW

GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Iğdır FKBatman Petrolspor
50.0Attack62.5
70.8Defence45.8
66.7Form66.7
64.7Power60.0
1.69xG1.05
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