Icelandvs
Luxembourg
SCHEDULEDWorld · UEFA Nations League · 11/16/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Iceland · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (14%), 1-0 (14%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 17 October 2026 at 02:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–014%
- 2.1–014%
- 3.1–111%
Predicted outcome
Iceland
Probability
56.8%
Model confidence
56.8%
Iceland has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
IcelandDWWDL
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
LuxembourgLLLWW
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
IcelandLuxembourg
58.3Attack16.7
91.7Defence41.7
66.7Form25.0
71.2Power31.6
1.87xG0.70