Iceland U21vs
Switzerland U21
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · 9/29/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Switzerland U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Iceland U21 5-1 Switzerland U21
Original prediction
Switzerland U21
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 20:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.20 | 28.4% | 30.5% | 2.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 26.4% | 25.2% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 2.01 | 45.2% | 44.3% | -0.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Switzerland U21
Probability
44.3%
Model confidence
44.3%
Switzerland U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80