IBV Vestmannaeyjarvs
Valur Reykjavik
COMPLETEDIceland · Úrvalsdeild · 9/20/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Valur Reykjavik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (7%), 2-2 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1-1 Valur Reykjavik
Original prediction
Valur Reykjavik
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.22 | 40.7% | 34.3% | -6.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.72 | 24.3% | 19.6% | -4.7 pts |
| Away | 2.58 | 35.0% | 46.2% | 11.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.72 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–27%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Valur Reykjavik
Probability
46.2%
Model confidence
46.2%
Valur Reykjavik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00