IBV Vestmannaeyjarvs
Thor Akureyri
COMPLETEDIceland · Úrvalsdeild · 8/29/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
IBV Vestmannaeyjar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0-1 Thor Akureyri
Original prediction
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.68 | 54.2% | 65.2% | 10.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.98 | 22.8% | 17.2% | -5.5 pts |
| Away | 3.95 | 23.0% | 17.6% | -5.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Probability
65.2%
Model confidence
65.2%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60