IBV Vestmannaeyjarvs
FH hafnarfjordur
COMPLETEDIceland · Úrvalsdeild · 10/16/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FH hafnarfjordur · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3-1 FH hafnarfjordur
Original prediction
FH hafnarfjordur
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 12:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.64 | 34.3% | 33.3% | -1.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.60 | 25.2% | 26.3% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.24 | 40.5% | 40.4% | -0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
FH hafnarfjordur
Probability
40.4%
Model confidence
40.4%
FH hafnarfjordur has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 15 · GA 7 · avg 3.00/1.40