Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ibri · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (14%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ibri 1-2 Saham
Original prediction
Ibri
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.55 | 35.3% | 41.5% | 6.2 pts |
| Draw | 2.87 | 31.4% | 29.4% | -2.0 pts |
| Away | 2.71 | 33.3% | 29.1% | -4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–014%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Ibri
Probability
41.5%
Model confidence
41.5%
Ibri has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
IbriWDLWL
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
SahamWLLDW
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
IbriSaham
66.7Attack16.7
100.0Defence83.3
66.7Form50.0
74.3Power53.0
1.35xG0.85