Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ibri · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Ibri 1-0 Dhofar, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Ibri 2-3 Dhofar
Original prediction
Ibri
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 October 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.44 | 36.7% | 46.0% | 9.2 pts |
| Draw | 2.93 | 30.7% | 28.5% | -2.1 pts |
| Away | 2.75 | 32.6% | 25.5% | -7.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.2 pts
Projected Score
Ibri 1–0 Dhofar
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Ibri
Probability
46.0%
Model confidence
46.0%
Ibri has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
IbriDDDLL
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
DhofarDLDWD
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
IbriDhofar
41.7Attack25.0
83.3Defence50.0
41.7Form16.7
54.1Power33.8
1.39xG0.70