Ibrachina U20vs
São Caetano U20
COMPLETEDBrazil · Paulista - U20 · 9/12/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ibrachina U20 · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Ibrachina U20 3-0 São Caetano U20, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Ibrachina U20 4-0 São Caetano U20
Original prediction
Ibrachina U20
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.16 | 76.7% | 72.4% | -4.3 pts |
| Draw | 5.58 | 16.0% | 16.5% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 12.19 | 7.3% | 11.1% | 3.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.16 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.3 pts
Projected Score
Ibrachina U20 3–0 São Caetano U20
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Ibrachina U20
Probability
72.4%
Model confidence
72.4%
Ibrachina U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40