Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ibiza · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Ibiza 0-0 Zaragoza, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Ibiza 0-2 Zaragoza
Original prediction
Ibiza
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.40 | 37.8% | 38.1% | 0.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.21 | 28.3% | 30.6% | 2.4 pts |
| Away | 2.67 | 33.9% | 31.2% | -2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.3 pts
Projected Score
Ibiza 0–0 Zaragoza
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Ibiza
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
38.1%
Ibiza has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
IbizaLWWLW
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
ZaragozaWWWLL
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
IbizaZaragoza
38.6Attack50.0
66.7Defence50.0
43.9Form50.0
50.5Power50.0
1.06xG0.78