Ibizavs
Sant Andreu
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División RFEF - Group 2 · 9/12/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ibiza · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Ibiza 0-0 Sant Andreu, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Ibiza 2-0 Sant Andreu
Original prediction
Ibiza
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.76 | 51.4% | 41.6% | -9.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.25 | 27.8% | 30.4% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 4.36 | 20.8% | 28.0% | 7.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.76 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.8 pts
Projected Score
Ibiza 0–0 Sant Andreu
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Ibiza
Probability
41.6%
Model confidence
41.6%
Ibiza has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
IbizaWLWWL
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Sant AndreuWLWDD
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
IbizaSant Andreu
38.6Attack50.0
66.7Defence50.0
43.9Form50.0
50.5Power50.0
1.06xG0.78