GGOALVIO

Georgia · Liga 3 · 5/7/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Margveti 2006 · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Iberia 2010 are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 3.60 conceded, while Margveti 2006 are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Margveti 2006 hold a 23.2-point power-rating edge (14.4 v 37.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.2% in the Liga 3, while Margveti 2006 holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Margveti 2006

Probability

47.2%

Model confidence

47.2%

Margveti 2006 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Iberia 2010LLLLL

GF 1 · GA 18 · avg 0.20/3.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Margveti 2006LLLWW

GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Iberia 2010Margveti 2006
21.6Attack33.3
2.0Defence37.3
5.9Form35.3
14.4Power37.6
1.04xG1.62
View match centre →