ŠiauliaivsSuduva Marijampole

Šiauliai are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Suduva Marijampole are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Suduva Marijampole hold a 31.5-point power-rating edge (32.0 v 63.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.3% in the A Lyga, while Suduva Marijampole holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.