ŠiauliaivsHegelmann Litauen

Šiauliai are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Hegelmann Litauen are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Hegelmann Litauen hold a 6.9-point power-rating edge (32.0 v 38.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.1% in the A Lyga, while Hegelmann Litauen holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.