Šiauliaivs
Hegelmann Litauen
COMPLETEDLithuania · A Lyga · 9/13/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hegelmann Litauen · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Šiauliai 0-0 Hegelmann Litauen
Original prediction
Hegelmann Litauen
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.54 | 35.1% | 32.7% | -2.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.20 | 27.9% | 26.1% | -1.8 pts |
| Away | 2.40 | 37.1% | 41.2% | 4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.20 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Hegelmann Litauen
Probability
41.2%
Model confidence
41.2%
Hegelmann Litauen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00