IA Akranesvs
KR Reykjavik
COMPLETEDIceland · Úrvalsdeild · 9/6/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
KR Reykjavik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-3 (7%), 2-2 (6%), 3-3 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
IA Akranes 3-1 KR Reykjavik
Original prediction
KR Reykjavik
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.19 | 28.5% | 30.8% | 2.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.28 | 21.2% | 17.8% | -3.4 pts |
| Away | 1.81 | 50.3% | 51.5% | 1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–37%
- 2.2–26%
- 3.3–36%
Predicted outcome
KR Reykjavik
Probability
51.5%
Model confidence
51.5%
KR Reykjavik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 15 · GA 10 · avg 3.00/2.00