IA Akranesvs
Keflavik
COMPLETEDIceland · Úrvalsdeild · 10/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
IA Akranes · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 3-1 (7%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
IA Akranes 4-4 Keflavik
Original prediction
IA Akranes
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 06:27 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.49 | 60.6% | 47.5% | -13.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.57 | 19.8% | 25.0% | 5.2 pts |
| Away | 4.63 | 19.6% | 27.5% | 7.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.57 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.3–17%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
IA Akranes
Probability
47.5%
Model confidence
47.5%
IA Akranes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 11 · avg 2.80/2.20
GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80