IA Akranesvs
Breidablik
COMPLETEDIceland · Úrvalsdeild · 9/20/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Breidablik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 1-2 (6%), 2-3 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
IA Akranes 4-1 Breidablik
Original prediction
Breidablik
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.06 | 44.0% | 38.9% | -5.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.91 | 23.2% | 19.0% | -4.1 pts |
| Away | 2.76 | 32.8% | 42.1% | 9.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.1–26%
- 3.2–36%
Predicted outcome
Breidablik
Probability
42.1%
Model confidence
42.1%
Breidablik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00