GGOALVIO

Finland · Kakkonen - Lohko B · 5/12/2023, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

I-Kissat · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Highconfidence

I-Kissat are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (WLW), averaging 3.00 scored and 2.67 conceded, while SexyPöxyt are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (LLW), averaging 0.67 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and I-Kissat hold a 31.6-point power-rating edge (61.2 v 29.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 85.5% in the Kakkonen - Lohko B, while I-Kissat holds the strongest overall chance at 86% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 88% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

I-Kissat

Probability

85.5%

Model confidence

85.5%

I-Kissat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

I-KissatWLW

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 3.00/2.67

BTTS 3/3O2.5 3/3
SexyPöxytLLW

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.67/2.00

BTTS 1/3O2.5 2/3
I-KissatSexyPöxyt
80.3Attack30.3
34.8Defence24.2
65.2Form24.2
61.2Power29.6
4.50xG1.03
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