Hyde Unitedvs
Bury
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Northern · 8/31/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bury · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (12%), 0-1 (11%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hyde United 2-1 Bury
Original prediction
Bury
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.43 | 26.2% | 18.6% | -7.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.51 | 25.7% | 21.7% | -3.9 pts |
| Away | 1.87 | 48.1% | 59.7% | 11.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–212%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Bury
Probability
59.7%
Model confidence
59.7%
Bury has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80