FA CupFA Cup
Wednesday, 15 July 2026Last updated 12:35
Hwaseong

Hwaseong

Home
W
43
Full time
Yangpyeong

Yangpyeong

Away
LW
GoalVio prediction
45% confidence
Hwaseong(45%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction correct— Result: Hwaseong
Win probability
Hwaseong
45%
Draw
23%
Yangpyeong
32%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Hwaseong
99
Yangpyeong
99
Defence
Hwaseong
6
Yangpyeong
14
Momentum
Hwaseong
100
Yangpyeong
50
Danger (xG)
Hwaseong
3.60
Yangpyeong
3.60
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Hwaseong)
3.60
avg per match
xG for (Yangpyeong)
3.60
avg per match
xG against (Hwaseong)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Yangpyeong)
2.25
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
HwaseongHwaseong
WW
YangpyeongYangpyeong
LWWD

Probability breakdown

45% confidence
Hwaseong45%
Draw23%
Yangpyeong32%

Hwaseong leads with 45% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Hwaseong head into this in FA Cup fixture in mixed form (W), while Yangpyeong arrive in mixed form (LW). Hwaseong have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 50% for Yangpyeong over 2 games.

Both teams carry genuine attacking threat — Hwaseong (99/100) and Yangpyeong (99/100) are both rated highly going forward. The model anticipates an open, goal-heavy contest.

Hwaseong have won all 2 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 3.5 goals scored and 2.5 conceded per game at home. Yangpyeong have won 1 of their last 3 away fixtures, averaging 2.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per away game.

Hwaseong have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 7.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Hwaseong to win with 45% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Hwaseong 4537%, Draw 2251%, Yangpyeong 3212%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Hwaseong 1Draws 00 Yangpyeong
Avg goals: 7.0BTTS in 1/1
15 Jul 2026
Hwaseong
W43
Yangpyeong

Recent form

Hwaseong

Hwaseong

W
vs Yangpyeong
15 Jul 2026
43
W
vs Busan I Park
17 May 2026
32
Yangpyeong

Yangpyeong

L
@ Hwaseong
15 Jul 2026
34
W
vs Jeonbuk Motors II
12 Jul 2026
52
W
@ Ulsan FC
4 Jul 2026
51
D
@ Ulsan Citizen
16 May 2026
00

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Hwaseong vs Yangpyeong?

GoalVio's model predicts Hwaseong to win with 45% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Hwaseong vs Yangpyeong?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Hwaseong vs Yangpyeong?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Hwaseong vs Yangpyeong?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more