Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hwaseong · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Hwaseong are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Chuncheon are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (DW), averaging 3.50 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Hwaseong hold a 25.6-point power-rating edge (67.2 v 41.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.0% in the K3 League, while Hwaseong holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Hwaseong
Probability
61.0%
Model confidence
61.0%
Hwaseong has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.50
GF 7 · GA 1 · avg 3.50/0.50