GGOALVIO

South-Korea · WK-League · 10/15/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hwacheon KSPO W · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Hwacheon KSPO W 1-0 Gumi Sportstoto W, with an exact score probability of 22%.

Prediction record

Final result

Hwacheon KSPO W 1-1 Gumi Sportstoto W

Original prediction

Hwacheon KSPO W

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 29 September 2026 at 09:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.5259.5%62.4%2.9 pts
Draw3.6025.2%25.5%0.3 pts
Away5.9415.3%12.1%-3.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.60 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

2.9 pts

Projected Score

Hwacheon KSPO W 1–0 Gumi Sportstoto W

Exact score probability: 22%

Predicted outcome

Hwacheon KSPO W

Probability

62.4%

Model confidence

62.4%

Hwacheon KSPO W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hwacheon KSPO WWWDDD

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Gumi Sportstoto WDLLLW

GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Hwacheon KSPO WGumi Sportstoto W
46.9Attack32.1
84.0Defence57.7
66.7Form41.0
66.9Power45.2
1.36xG0.42
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