GGOALVIO

South-Korea · WK-League · 4/4/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hwacheon KSPO W · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Hwacheon KSPO W are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Changnyeong W are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Hwacheon KSPO W hold a 41.3-point power-rating edge (70.1 v 28.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.1% in the WK-League, while Hwacheon KSPO W holds the strongest overall chance at 86% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hwacheon KSPO W

Probability

85.7%

Model confidence

17.1%

Hwacheon KSPO W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hwacheon KSPO WWWDWW

GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Changnyeong WLDLDW

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Hwacheon KSPO WChangnyeong W
51.9Attack31.6
83.3Defence24.6
72.2Form21.1
70.1Power28.8
2.84xG0.39
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