GGOALVIO

South-Korea · WK-League · 4/18/2023, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hwacheon KSPO · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Hwacheon KSPO are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (WLLW), averaging 1.50 scored and 0.75 conceded, while Gyeongju are 1W-2D-1L in their last 4 (WDLD), averaging 0.75 scored and 0.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 8 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Hwacheon KSPO hold a 15.4-point power-rating edge (68.8 v 53.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.3% in the WK-League, while Hwacheon KSPO holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hwacheon KSPO

Probability

48.3%

Model confidence

48.3%

Hwacheon KSPO has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hwacheon KSPOWLLW

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.50/0.75

BTTS 1/4O2.5 2/4
GyeongjuWDLD

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.75/0.75

BTTS 1/4O2.5 1/4
Hwacheon KSPOGyeongju
49.1Attack50.0
84.2Defence60.0
70.2Form48.3
68.8Power53.4
1.32xG0.67
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