H&W Weldersvs
Loughgall
COMPLETEDNorthern-Ireland · Championship · 10/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
H&W Welders · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
H&W Welders 1-2 Loughgall
Original prediction
H&W Welders
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 08:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.71 | 53.3% | 47.5% | -5.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.90 | 23.3% | 24.9% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 3.88 | 23.4% | 27.6% | 4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
H&W Welders
Probability
47.5%
Model confidence
47.5%
H&W Welders has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60