H&W Weldersvs
Dundela
COMPLETEDNorthern-Ireland · Championship · 8/28/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
H&W Welders · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
H&W Welders 2-0 Dundela
Original prediction
H&W Welders
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.25 | 72.8% | 54.0% | -18.8 pts |
| Draw | 5.52 | 16.4% | 23.4% | 7.0 pts |
| Away | 8.42 | 10.8% | 22.6% | 11.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.25 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-18.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
H&W Welders
Probability
54.0%
Model confidence
54.0%
H&W Welders has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20