GGOALVIO

Northern-Ireland · Championship · 8/19/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

H&W Welders · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

H&W Welders are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Dergview are 1W-0D-3L in their last 4 (LLWL), averaging 2.25 scored and 3.25 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 9 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and H&W Welders hold a 19.0-point power-rating edge (52.3 v 33.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.6% in the Championship, while H&W Welders holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

H&W Welders

Probability

70.6%

Model confidence

70.6%

H&W Welders has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

H&W WeldersWWLWL

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
DergviewLLWL

GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 2.25/3.25

BTTS 4/4O2.5 4/4
H&W WeldersDergview
61.4Attack35.8
44.7Defence32.5
49.1Form24.2
52.3Power33.3
2.85xG1.03
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