GGOALVIO

Iceland · 2. Deild · 9/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kormákur / Hvöt · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-3 (8%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Hvíti riddarinn 3-4 Kormákur / Hvöt

Original prediction

Kormákur / Hvöt

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.2540.0%23.5%-16.4 pts
Draw4.3120.9%17.4%-3.5 pts
Away2.3039.1%59.1%20.0 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.30 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

20.0 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–29%
  2. 2.1–38%
  3. 3.1–17%

Predicted outcome

Kormákur / Hvöt

Probability

59.1%

Model confidence

59.1%

Kormákur / Hvöt has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hvíti riddarinnDLLLW

GF 5 · GA 17 · avg 1.00/3.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Kormákur / HvötLLLLW

GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Hvíti riddarinnKormákur / Hvöt
40.0Attack61.7
23.3Defence45.0
28.3Form40.0
33.2Power48.0
1.41xG2.79
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