Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rīgas FS · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Hvidovre are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Rīgas FS are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Rīgas FS hold a 16.6-point power-rating edge (43.3 v 59.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Rīgas FS holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rīgas FS
Probability
48.9%
Model confidence
48.9%
Rīgas FS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20