Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hvidovre · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 3-0 (11%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hvidovre 1-0 Hillerød
Original prediction
Hvidovre
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 06:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.57 | 58.9% | 72.8% | 13.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.09 | 22.6% | 16.4% | -6.2 pts |
| Away | 4.98 | 18.5% | 10.8% | -7.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.57 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.3–011%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Hvidovre
Probability
72.8%
Model confidence
72.8%
Hvidovre has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
HvidovreWWWDW
GF 14 · GA 8 · avg 2.80/1.60
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
HillerødLDWLD
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
HvidovreHillerød
66.7Attack43.3
66.7Defence46.7
80.0Form30.0
73.8Power42.3
2.54xG0.72