Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hvidovre · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 3-0 (12%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hvidovre 2-2 HB Koge
Original prediction
Hvidovre
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 October 2026 at 05:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.75 | 52.6% | 66.8% | 14.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.89 | 23.6% | 18.4% | -5.3 pts |
| Away | 3.87 | 23.8% | 14.8% | -8.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.89 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.3–012%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Hvidovre
Probability
66.8%
Model confidence
66.8%
Hvidovre has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
HvidovreWWWWD
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
HB KogeLWWDD
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
HvidovreHB Koge
63.6Attack45.5
69.7Defence39.4
81.8Form30.3
74.6Power39.9
2.77xG0.68