Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aarhus · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Hvidovre are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Aarhus are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Aarhus hold a 16.9-point power-rating edge (31.4 v 48.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.8% in the Superliga, while Aarhus holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Aarhus
Probability
55.8%
Model confidence
55.8%
Aarhus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80