Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hvidovre · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Hvidovre 1-0 Aalborg, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Hvidovre 2-2 Aalborg
Original prediction
Hvidovre
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.35 | 39.3% | 46.6% | 7.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 27.1% | 27.5% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.75 | 33.6% | 25.8% | -7.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.41 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.3 pts
Projected Score
Hvidovre 1–0 Aalborg
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Hvidovre
Probability
46.6%
Model confidence
46.6%
Hvidovre has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
HvidovreWWDWW
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
AalborgWDLLL
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
HvidovreAalborg
61.9Attack33.3
71.4Defence66.7
81.0Form52.4
74.2Power52.9
1.51xG0.68