Hutnik Krakówvs
Zawisza Bydgoszcz
COMPLETEDPoland · II Liga - East · 9/12/2026, 12:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hutnik Kraków · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (11%), 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hutnik Kraków 1-1 Zawisza Bydgoszcz
Original prediction
Hutnik Kraków
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.18 | 41.3% | 50.4% | 9.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.27 | 27.5% | 25.1% | -2.4 pts |
| Away | 2.88 | 31.3% | 24.4% | -6.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.27 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–011%
- 2.1–111%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Hutnik Kraków
Probability
50.4%
Model confidence
50.4%
Hutnik Kraków has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20