Hutnik Krakówvs
Tychy 71
COMPLETEDPoland · II Liga - East · 10/3/2026, 1:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hutnik Kraków · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hutnik Kraków 0-2 Tychy 71
Original prediction
Hutnik Kraków
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 03:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.90 | 31.1% | 37.7% | 6.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 26.2% | 28.4% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 2.11 | 42.7% | 33.9% | -8.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Hutnik Kraków
Probability
37.7%
Model confidence
37.7%
Hutnik Kraków has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40